USD: Historically, A Divided Congress Likely USD Negative – Nordea


We will soon know the results of the US Mid-Term Elections and Democrats seem to be on track for a victory in the House. What does it mean for the US Dollar?

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXdata:

Nordea Research discusses the USD outlook in light of today’s US mid-term elections.

A hung congress would be a bad scenario for the USD, while you should expect EUR/USD to drop swiftly through the 1.13 level in case Trump and the Republicans manage to secure another 2 years with a Republican majority in both chambers.

Historically the USD has fared poorly both before and after mid-term elections which have resulted in a hung congress. while there is no significant USD-pattern around other mid-terms.

A hung congress on Tuesday will be bad news for the USD, given lower prospects of Trump-stimuli in a hung Congress scenario. If we get a hung congress, then we should prepare for more a mix of aggressive trade rhetoric (due to the president’s widespread prerogatives on trade) and no further fiscal stimulus,” Nordea argues.

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Yohay Elam – Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I’ve accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I’ve earned the significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I’ve worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.

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