AUD/USD Price to Break 0.75 amid Melbourne Unlock, Evergrande
AUD/USD Daily Outlooks

AUD/USD Price to Break 0.75 amid Melbourne Unlock, Evergrande

  • AUD/USD posted intraday highs just under 0.7500 area amid improved risk sentiment.
  • Positive news about China’s Evergrande and virtual meeting of US and Chinese presidents has escalated the risk mode.
  • Removal of restrictions in Melbourne despite a surge in daily cases has provided little support to the Aussie.

The AUD/USD price surged to an intraday high near 0.7490 and consolidated a rebound over the day, with its biggest daily decline occurring early Friday in October. The price of the Aussie dropped the previous day because of inflation-related headlines, but risk sentiment has recently helped the pair.

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As a result of rushing injections and ignoring a recent surge in infections by the country, the Melbourne city block has been unblocked after 262 days despite Coronavirus-led activity control. ABC News reports 2,547 daily cases this week, up from 2,643 on Thursday.

Moreover, President Biden’s speech at CNN City Hall led to optimism about the infrastructure deal because he spoke of coming to an agreement on infrastructure and social spending after weeks of intra-party disputes between his Democrats.

Speculation about a virtual meeting between US President Biden and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping has also fueled risk-taking. In preparation for a virtual meeting between President Joe Biden and Chinese Leader Xi Jinping, White House officials hope to show the world that Washington can effectively manage relations between rival superpowers, said familiar sources.

A few positive results were also reported for China’s Evergrande after several days of dimmer market sentiment. Besides paying a coupon on its $ 83.5 million bonds, the ailing real estate company also hoped to sell its assets to Hopson. However, according to South China Morning Post, rival China Evergrande Hopson Development Holdings Limited, which wanted to acquire half of the developer’s property management business, still views the purchase agreement as legally binding despite Evergrande terminating the deal on October 12.

US Treasury bond yields continue to rise by 1.70%, a key mark that historically fuels US dollar strength. US policymakers continue to highlight inflation concerns. The President of the New York Federal Reserve (FRS), John Williams, recently noted the difficulties of reflation following Fed Governor Christopher Waller.

Stock futures rally amid these events, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakens after bouncing off its three-week high on the previous day. However, a more important point to keep in mind will be the preliminary US PMI data for October. PMI for October from the Commonwealth Bank of Australia was mixed, with manufacturing PMI being weaker than expected.

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AUD/USD price technical analysis: Pressured below 20-SMA

AUD/USD 4-hour price chart

The AUD/USD price has come under selling pressure near the 0.7470 territory. The price is struggling below the 20-period SMA on the 4-hour chart. The pair can further slip towards the 50-period SMA around 0.7430 ahead of round number 0.7400. On the upside, 0.7500 remains a tough nut to crack ahead of the multi-week top at 0.7540 area. The volume data is in favor of bears while the bearish stance is not yet confirmed.

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Saqib Iqbal

Saqib Iqbal

Saqib Iqbal is a market analyst, prop fund trader and mentor, serving the industry with his analysis and educational content since 2011. The author has great exposure to different financial markets and institutions. He's well-known for his day trading reviews and multiple timeframe analysis.