Sky News voting day poll by YouGov shows 52% Remain, 48% Leave. It is a large sample of 5000 voters. This more or less confirms the most recent polls. Nigel Farage seems to have accepted a loss but IDS says it’s still to close to call.
Extreme volatility follows, with GBP/USD making an attempt on 1.50 without a breakout. EUR/USD went above resistance at 1.1410 but retreats.
Update: UK leaves the EU – it is official – expect more crashes
Update: GBP/USD > 1.50 on Sun concession, new poll
Voting has ended in the UK after a long and tense day in which markets did not sleep at all. These are opinion polls held on the day of the vote, asking previous interviewees what they voted. These are NOT massive exit polls that we usually have on regular elections.
An hour before voting ended we had a jump in the pound – it may have been related to reports of a high turnout in Scotland, a place where Remain can gain, and also perhaps on rumors related to those elusive hedge funds polls. They may or may not exist.
Live Blog
Real results are expected to begin flowing at around 23:00-23:30 GMT.
More:
- EU Referendum Preview: Positioning, Scenarios and Key Results Releases
- Is your broker Brexit ready?
- Brexit or Bremain – all the updates