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CAD holds high despite a big drop in oil prices

WTI Crude Oil  is trading at $45.20, the lowest level since mid -May and a drop of 5.5%. It already reached a low of $44.86. The big slide is a mix of risk-off  related to  Brexit as well as the release of Crude Oil Inventories, which released the sellers. The report in itself showed a  draw from oil reserves, more or less as expected. However, it seems that sellers were itching  to move on ahead of tomorrow’s NFP.

Here is the daily chart of WTI, showing the big fall out of range:

WTI Crude Crash July 7 2016

Moving to USD/CAD, we do not see the same picture. USD/CAD remains trading around 1.30, the magnet that has attracted the price for a long time.  Dollar/CAD is very much in range.

It is slightly higher, 50 pips or 0.4%, but this is far from being a significant move.  This is a sign of strength of  the Canadian  dollar. So, tomorrow we will get both the US and the Canadian jobs report. The US Non-Farm Payrolls always gets more attention.

However, CAD could be interesting.  Assuming the current trend continues, USD/CAD could brush off a weak report, while a strong gain in Canadian jobs could send the pair crashing – CAD soaring.

A lot of strength in the loonie at the moment:

USDCAD stable July 7 2016 despite oil fall

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.