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Euro-zone inflation confirmed at 0.5% y/y – EUR/USD holds

Prices in the euro-zone advanced by 0.5% in the final read for October, as expected. Month over month, prices rose by only 0.2%,  slightly below 0.3% expected. Core inflation was confirmed at 0.8%, which has been very stable. Another measure of core inflation, excluding only fuel, rose by 0.7%.

EUR/USD ticks down just a bit to 1.0720, which is quite insignificant. The next move depends on the US: inflation data from the other side of the Atlantic as well as Yellen’s speech are up next.

The final euro-zone inflation read for October 2016 was expected to confirm the preliminary read: 0.5% in headline inflation and 0.8% in core inflation.

EUR/USD was recovered from the falls related to the dollar’s Trump rally, and traded  above resistance, at 1.0725, just before the publication.

The base effect of falling oil prices has been diminishing and that is what helps headline inflation advance. This is the sole mandate of the European Central Bank. However, the ECB also eyes core inflation and  this has not been advancing.

The calls for EUR/USD parity  are growing  and growing. However, such calls did not come to fruition in the past. The low for 2015 has been 1.0460 and another attempt to move lower stopped at 1.0520. At current levels, resistance awaits at 1.0820 and 1.0910.

Here is how the move looks in the 30-minute chart.

eurusd-november-17-2016-technical-chart

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.