EUR/USD continued pushing forward and touched 1.27. At this point, it seems that the heights aren’t easy for the pair, that still carries debt issues and gloomy forecasts. Update on this pair. Euro/Dollar continued the trend that began with the weak Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday and gradually edged up during the week – from the support line of 1.2460, it rose in waves and reached 1.2702, breaking 30 pips above the 1.2672 peak it reached on May 21, in the recovery rally that followed the turmoil. So, at this point, the highest since the beginning of May, the pair seems exhausted. EUR/USD fell back down to 1.2660 after reaching the new highs. The break seems false and the next line of resistance, 1.2880 is out of reach. 1.2880 was a support line in May 2009. Below 1.2460, support appears at 1.2330, 1.2250 and most importantly 1.2150. Above, 1.3110 is the next resistance line. Reasons for Euro rally The recent Euro rally came on top of weak economic figures in the US, and especially the Non-Farm Payrolls, that disappointed two months in a row. The sentiment is that the US economic recovery is much weaker than expected, meaning low interest rates for a very extended period of time. With a weak US economy, how can the dollar rise? But there’s something else: the risk factor. The Euro didn’t rally on its own strength, but on US weakness. US weakness is global weakness, and this will eventually trigger risk aversive trading. The situation in the Euro-zone isn’t good. The European teams might be good football / soccer, but their economies aren’t doing well. Top economists say that the worst is yet to come: Shaun Osborne, chief currency strategist at TD Securities Inc. in Toronto, said the euro will depreciate to $1.13 in the third quarter, $1.08 by year-end and may near $1 in 2011 before recovering. Osborne, whose predictions were within 4.1 percent of the mark on average, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, was echoed by the nine following most-accurate forecasters in anticipating a lower euro in the next two quarters. When fear will return to the markets, the Euro will suffer. The dollar and the yen will rise. So, if you’re enjoying this current risk rally, you better watch out before the tables turn once again. Ready to connect with real Forex traders? Currensee is the first Forex trading social network. Yohay Elam Yohay Elam Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts. Yohay's Google Profile View All Post By Yohay Elam Expert score 5 Etoro - Best For Beginner & Experts0% Commission and No stamp DutyRegulated by US,UK & International StockCopy Successfull Traders 5 Read Review Open My Free Account Your capital is at risk. Forex NewsOpinions share Read Next Forex Daily Outlook – July 9 2010 Anat Dror 11 years EUR/USD continued pushing forward and touched 1.27. At this point, it seems that the heights aren't easy for the pair, that still carries debt issues and gloomy forecasts. Update on this pair. Euro/Dollar continued the trend that began with the weak Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday and gradually edged up during the week - from the support line of 1.2460, it rose in waves and reached 1.2702, breaking 30 pips above the 1.2672 peak it reached on May 21, in the recovery rally that followed the turmoil. So, at this point, the highest since the beginning of May, the pair seems… Top Forex Brokers All Brokers Sponsored Brokers Broker Benefits Min Deposit Score Visit Broker 1 $100T&Cs Apply 0% Commission and No stamp DutyRegulated by US,UK & International StockCopy Successfull Traders 9.8 Visit Site FreeBets Reviews$100Your capital is at risk.2 T&Cs Apply 9.8 Visit Site FreeBets Reviews$100Your capital is at risk.3 Recommended Broker $100T&Cs Apply No deposit or withdrawal feesTrade major forex pairs such as EUR/USD with leverage up to 30:1 and tight spreads of 0.9 pips Low $100 minimum deposit to open a trading account 9 Visit Site FreeBets ReviewsYour capital is at risk.4 T&Cs Apply Visit Site FreeBets ReviewsYour capital is at risk.5 Recommended Broker $0T&Cs Apply Trade gold, silver, and platinum directly against major currenciesUp to 1:500 leverage for forex trading24/5 customer service by phone and email 9 Visit Site FreeBets ReviewsYour capital is at risk.