How Far Can The Dollar Fall S/T? What Is The

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The US dollar is on the back foot, with EUR/USD touching 108 and USD/JPY breaking support.

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews:

President Trump’s travel ban – and his associated decision to fire the acting Attorney General – dominates sentiment and remains good for Treasuries, the yen (and gold), but bad for bonds and the dollar. How long will market sentiment to be affected? How far can the dollar and yields fall on this?

I’m not sure serious analysis is possible, and I don’t trust my gut instincts on something as far from the usual state of affairs, but my bias is still that we’ll get back to the Trump economic program, and the implications for Fed policy, before too long. More prosaically, markets will focus on the US jobs data due Friday.

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So how to trade?

We still want to fade this bout of Yen weakness too, with the BoJ holding policy and still anchoring yields. This till leaves me looking fondly at long EUR/JPY as an idea, even if we still think it is 2 1/2 months too early for that trade really.

GBP looks rangebound, with mortgage approvals and the debate on the Brexit bill.

Visually, AUD looks as though it’s topping out but at the same time, Australia looks a haven of calm (or at least, Sydney seems an appealing destination as I sit in Heathrow this morning, on the way to Frankfurt instead!).

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About Author

Yohay Elam – Founder, Writer and Editor
I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I’ve accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I’ve earned the significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me.

Before founding Forex Crunch, I’ve worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.

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