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The Japanese yen had a quiet week,   as Dollar/yen was unchanged. The upcoming week’s highlights include U.S. retail sales and unemployment claims.

USD/JPY fundamental mover

Japanese household spending posted a fifth straight decline in February. However, the indicator dropped just 0.3%, compared to a 3.9% decline in January. Core machine orders posted a second straight gain, with a gain of 2.3% in February. This easily beat the forecast of -2.3 percent.

In the U.S., unemployment claims hit a shocking level for a second straight week, hitting 6.60 million. This was higher than the estimate of 5.0 million. The week ended on a sour note, as consumer inflation declined by 0.4% in March, the first decline since December 2018. Core CPI fell by 0.1%, after a gain of 0.2% a month earlier.

See all the main events in the  Forex Weekly Outlook

Key news updates for USD/JPY


USD/JPY Technical Analysis

We start with resistance at 111.69.

110.62 is next.

109.73 is protecting the 110 level, which has psychological significance.

108.70 (mentioned last week) is next.

108.10 is an immediate support level. It could see action early next week.

107.30 is the next support level.

106.61 has held in support since mid-March. 105.55 follows.

104.65 is the final support line for now.


USD/JPY Daily Chart

USD/JPY Sentiment

I remain bullish on USD/JPY

The U.S. dollar has emerged as the primary safe-haven asset in the current crisis, outshining the yen. The greenback has performed fairly well despite some appalling job numbers and the outlook for the dollar remains positive.

Safe trading!