Popular Posts

Forex News»

Opinions»

Is a dovish Yellen already priced in?

Is a dovish Yellen already priced in?

Aug 22, 2014 14:51
And if the answer is yes, could we see the dollar resume its rally once her speech is released?  Let’s see the case for a dovish Yellen and why this may already be...

Majors»

Forex Weekly Outlook August 25-29

Forex Weekly Outlook August 25-29

Aug 22, 2014 16:36
The dollar dominated once again, with multi-month gains against major currencies. Is it time for a correction or will this trend continue? German Ifo Business Climate, US...
  • GBP/USD Forecast Aug. 18-22
    GBP/USD Forecast Aug. 18-22
    The British pound lost close to a cent last week, as GBP/USD continues to weaken. The pair close the week at 1.6687....
    on Aug 17, 2014 20:17
  • USD/JPY Forecast Aug. 18-22
    USD/JPY Forecast Aug. 18-22
    USD/JPY floated around the 102 magnet yet again. When will the pair pick a direction?. Trade balance is the main...
    on Aug 17, 2014 11:27
  • EUR/USD Forecast August 18-22
    EUR/USD Forecast August 18-22
    EUR/USD saw a new slide once again. but did not really make a substantial move. The focus is on the PMIs and on...
    on Aug 16, 2014 15:00

Minors»

USD/CHF Likely to Extend Gains

USD/CHF Likely to Extend Gains

Aug 21, 2014 10:24
The US dollar blasted higher against most major currencies, including the Swiss franc yesterday post the FOMC meeting minutes. The US dollar bulls were impressed by the outcome,...
  • USD/CAD Forecast Aug. 18-22
    USD/CAD Forecast Aug. 18-22
    The Canadian dollar improved last week, as USD/CAD closed just below the 1.09 level. This week’s highlights...
    on Aug 17, 2014 16:46
  • AUD/USD Forecast Aug. 18-22
    AUD/USD Forecast Aug. 18-22
    For a second straight week, AUD/USD showed little movement, as the pair closed at 0.9316. This week’s major...
    on Aug 17, 2014 10:54
  • AUD/USD Forecast Aug. 11-15
    AUD/USD Forecast Aug. 11-15
    AUD/USD was almost unchanged last week, as the pair closed at 0.9271. This week’s highlight is NAB Business...
    on Aug 10, 2014 16:35

Basics & Industry»

Getting to grips with trend following – part 2

Getting to grips with trend following – part 2

Aug 21, 2014 08:08
According to Wikipedia, trend following is an investment strategy that is based on the technical analysis of market prices, rather than on the fundamental strengths of the...
  • How to Avoid Recency Bias
    How to Avoid Recency Bias
    One of the biggest enemies that any trader has is recency bias. This is the phenomenon that occurs when we pay...
    on Aug 20, 2014 08:23
  • Getting to grips with trend following – Part 1
    Getting to grips with trend following – Part 1
    According to Wikipedia, trend following is an investment strategy that is based on the technical analysis of market...
    on Aug 19, 2014 08:04
  • How to Anticipate Trends
    How to Anticipate Trends
    One common misperception with forex trading is that traders are able to predict trends. In other words, they use...
    on Aug 18, 2014 10:28

Recent Articles

Market Movers Episode #12: The Fed, the economy and markets

Market Movers Episode #12: The Fed, the economy and markets

Welcome to a new episode of Market Movers, presented by Lior Cohen of Trading NRG and Yohay Elam of Forex Crunch.You are welcome to listen, subscribe and provide feedback. In today’s episode, we focus on the Fed and its huge impact on financial markets, currencies and commodities: Post crisis Fed action: we review what the Fed has

GBP sell-off looks over-done, especially after BoE minutes

GBP sell-off looks over-done, especially after BoE minutes

It just seems to be getting worse for GBP, which is flirting with four month lows versus USD. However the sell-off is starting to look over-done with the UK economy still in robust shape and with dissension building at the Bank of England over interest rates. Two factors have removed support for GBP. One is

Big Dollar is a Big Story

Big Dollar is a Big Story

The big story this week, has once again been the strength of the American Dollar, in fact on a trade weighted basis, the Big Dollar touched it’s highest value in almost a year. The catalyst for this week’s activity was the minutes of the July US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting, which were published

Forex Weekly Outlook August 25-29

Forex Weekly Outlook August 25-29

The dollar dominated once again, with multi-month gains against major currencies. Is it time for a correction or will this trend continue? German Ifo Business Climate, US housing data, Durable Goods Orders and GDP are amongthe highlights of this week. Follow along as we explore the Forex market movers coming our way. This was quite

Yellen provides no new message in Jackson Hole – USD stronger

Yellen provides no new message in Jackson Hole – USD stronger

Fed Chair Yellen basically repeats her message about the under utilization of the labor markets. While she does acknowledge some improvement, her message is complicated. If things improve more quickly, rates will rise sooner, and if things turn sour, they will rise slower. The big event is here: Janet Yellen’s much awaited Jackson Hole speech is

Is a dovish Yellen already priced in?

Is a dovish Yellen already priced in?

And if the answer is yes, could we see the dollar resume its rally once her speech is released?  Let’s see the case for a dovish Yellen and why this may already be priced in: Update: Yellen provides no new message – USD stronger The case for a dovish Yellen Yellen is a known dove and her view

EUR/USD Aug. 22 – Off the lows ahead of Yellen’s all important speech

EUR/USD Aug. 22 – Off the lows ahead of Yellen’s all important speech

EUR/USD is trading towards the upper end of the tight range that characterizes it towards the all-important Jackson Hole Symposium in which both heads of central banks give important speeches. How will EUR/USD look like after Yellen and Draghi take the stage? Is a dovish Yellen already priced in? Update: Yellen provides no new message – USD stronger

USD/CAD falls on mixed Canadian data

USD/CAD falls on mixed Canadian data

Canada reported both retail sales and inflation numbers for July. The data was mixed, with disappointing inflation and encouraging retail sales. The loonie played around and eventually got the upper hand, with USD/CAD falling. The Consumer Price Index dropped by 0.2%, worse than 0.1% expected and Core CPI dropping 0.1% instead of a rise at

Chair Janet Yellen in the spolight in Jackson Hole

Chair Janet Yellen in the spolight in Jackson Hole

The greenback remains stable as markets shift gears from Wednesday’s hawkish FOMC minutes to a potential dovish Chair Yellen’s speech this morning on the labor market. The latest FOMC minutes have shown that the dovish camp is losing ground and has raised the possibility of a change in view on labor market underutilization and the

This week in the markets: A confusing week for the pound

This week in the markets: A confusing week for the pound

GBP/USD slumped this week following the release of weaker-than-expected UK CPI inflation data.  The index dropped from 1.9% to 1.6% year-on-year. As a slight fall to 1.8% was anticipated, this bigger-than-expected move saw the pound sold off, with cable dropping around 60 pips in the immediate aftermath. The fall in clothing prices provided the largest