EUR/USD Forecast May 20-24
EUR/USD suffered a second week of significant falls after euro-zone figures disappointed and the dollar kept advancing. Is the pair ready to recover or are we going to see more drops? Flash PMI’s and German Ifo Business Climate are the highlights of this week. Here is an outlook for the main events and an updated technical analysis for EUR/USD.
Eurozone economic data was hit by a constant flow of disappointing GDP numbers, dragging the 17-country currency bloc to its longest-ever recession. Germany the leading force in Europe failed to meet market expectations, growing a mere 0.1% in March. France contracted 0.2% in March and officially fell back to recession. The EU as a whole declined by 0.2%. Is the recovery awaiting us in H2 as the ECB estimates? In the meantime, the central bank continues to check out the possibility of a negative deposit rate, and this weighs on the euro. In the US, data hasn’t been all rosy, but the economy continues growing.
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